WALLER, WEEKS AND JOHNSON RENTAL INDEX

In the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, rental rates across the United States have soared to record highs. To help demonstrate the rise in rents, the interactive tools on this page rank the most overvalued rental markets from among the nation’s largest metropolitan areas. Past leasing data from Zillow’s Observed Rent Index (ZORI) is used to model the rental trend for each measured metro. The data shows where rents should be (based on a history of rents) compared with actual, current rents. This premium or discount is defined as the percentage difference between statistically modeled prices and actual rental prices. Actual average rent, statistically predicted rent, month-over-month (M-O-M) change in rent, and year-over-year (Y-O-Y) change in rent for each metro are provided as well.

This ongoing, monthly reported project is co-produced by the Alabama Center of Real Estate at The University of Alabama, the Florida Atlantic University Real Estate Initiative, and Florida Gulf Coast University’s Lucas Institute for Real Estate Development & Finance

December 2025 Data

USA

LocationAverage RentWhere Average Rent Should BePremium/DiscountMonth Over Month Change Year Over Year ChangeMinimum Annual Income to NOT be Rent Burdened
United States$1,900.51$1,940.00-2.04%-0.22%2.09%$76,020

Note about cost-burdened (rent-burdened) households:

The Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) defines cost-burdened families as those “who pay more than 30% of their income for housing including utilities and may have difficulty affording necessities such as food, clothing, transportation, or medical care.” All calculations include rent only, not utilities. 

Alabama Metro Areas

National Population RankingMetro AreaAverage RentWhere Average Rent Should BePremium/DiscountMonth Over Month Change Year Over Year ChangeMinimum Annual Income to NOT be Rent Burdened
292Florence, AL$1,157.83 $1,096.26 5.62%1.23%0.77%$46,313
188Tuscaloosa, AL$1,537.11 $1,459.36 5.33%-0.40%5.87%$61,484
788Troy, AL$978.75 $971.21 0.78%0.80%0.80%$39,150
443Talladega, AL$1,162.44 $1,121.78 3.63%-1.37%-1.36%$46,498
608Ozark, AL$1,282.78 $1,177.55 8.94%-0.27%4.46%$51,311
143Montgomery, AL$1,366.49 $1,338.30 2.11%-0.28%3.90%$54,659
127Mobile, AL$1,235.95 $1,227.98 0.65%0.23%4.24%$49,438
508Jasper, AL$1,260.11 $1,187.46 6.12%2.39%2.92%$50,404
114Huntsville, AL$1,390.12 $1,477.67 -5.92%-0.11%1.35%$55,605
383Gadsden, AL$938.89 $879.65 6.73%0.99%7.92%$37,556
406Albertville, AL$1,500.00 $1,420.70 5.58%-0.94%7.15%$60,000
585Enterprise, AL$1,367.25 $1,359.96 0.54%-1.54%2.42%$54,690
293Dothan, AL$1,131.54 $1,069.24 5.83%0.07%3.28%$45,262
276Decatur, AL$1,048.79 $1,008.08 4.04%0.81%2.20%$41,951
203Daphne, AL$1,753.40 $1,804.82 -2.85%-0.66%3.57%$70,136
424Cullman, AL$1,456.94 $1,415.03 2.96%0.57%2.23%$58,278
51Birmingham, AL$1,374.63 $1,386.43 -0.85%-0.13%1.85%$54,985
253Auburn, AL$1,608.32 $1,525.99 5.40%0.08%7.36%$64,333
357Anniston, AL$989.31 $940.10 5.23%-0.27%1.04%$39,572

National Metro Areas

National Population RankingMetro AreaAverage RentWhere Average Rent Should BePremium/DiscountMonth Over Month Change Year Over Year ChangeMinimum Annual Income to NOT be Rent Burdened
64Albany, NY$1,586.88 $1,559.56 1.75%0.26%4.43%$63,475
76Greensboro, NC$1,387.42 $1,396.91 -0.68%-0.20%2.54%$55,497
75Charleston, SC$1,928.29 $1,962.11 -1.72%0.04%2.19%$77,132
74Dayton, OH$1,278.18 $1,271.45 0.53%-0.13%3.52%$51,127
73North Port, FL$2,094.30 $2,268.57 -7.68%-0.23%-2.90%$83,772
72Columbia, SC$1,541.96 $1,524.27 1.16%-0.05%4.13%$61,679
71Oxnard, CA$2,970.53 $3,041.26 -2.33%0.26%1.94%$118,821
70Allentown, PA$1,760.06 $1,767.83 -0.44%0.05%3.07%$70,402
69El Paso, TX$1,495.68 $1,501.17 -0.37%0.04%1.92%$59,827
68New Haven, CT$1,929.13 $1,872.60 3.02%0.12%4.05%$77,165
67McAllen, TX$1,125.93 $1,147.17 -1.85%0.26%1.00%$45,037
66Baton Rouge, LA$1,344.48 $1,346.11 -0.12%-0.29%0.92%$53,779
65Knoxville, TN$1,714.68 $1,766.39 -2.93%-0.04%0.84%$68,587
77Stockton, CA$2,337.65 $2,427.77 -3.71%0.49%3.79%$93,506
63Bakersfield, CA$1,783.23 $1,816.08 -1.81%-0.52%2.76%$71,329
62Albuquerque, NM$1,519.67 $1,556.38 -2.36%-0.58%1.68%$60,787
61Greenville, SC$1,539.30 $1,567.84 -1.82%0.07%1.36%$61,572
60Bridgeport, CT$2,726.67 $2,697.19 1.09%-0.11%3.16%$109,067
59Omaha, NE$1,386.28 $1,367.26 1.39%0.25%4.02%$55,451
58Worcester, MA$2,095.80 $2,068.47 1.32%0.20%4.63%$83,832
57Fresno, CA$1,849.54 $1,898.57 -2.58%0.45%3.40%$73,981
56Tulsa, OK$1,361.33 $1,358.16 0.23%-0.27%2.89%$54,453
55Urban Honolulu, HI$2,756.65 $2,662.42 3.54%-0.01%4.71%$110,266
54Tucson, AZ$1,463.21 $1,563.44 -6.41%-0.34%-0.78%$58,528
53Grand Rapids, MI$1,720.31 $1,732.11 -0.68%0.06%4.11%$68,813
89Winston, NC$1,502.51 $1,518.38 -1.05%0.02%2.75%$60,100
101Scranton, PA$1,290.24 $1,280.63 0.75%0.40%3.02%$51,610
100Spokane, WA$1,499.73 $1,601.58 -6.36%-0.18%2.31%$59,989
99Harrisburg, PA$1,382.35 $1,383.28 -0.07%-0.50%3.28%$55,294
98Jackson, MS$1,547.90 $1,494.03 3.61%0.76%4.42%$61,916
97Palm Bay, FL$1,895.24 $2,010.14 -5.72%-0.05%0.68%$75,809
96Augusta, GA$1,489.26 $1,506.85 -1.17%-0.38%2.24%$59,570
95Durham, NC$1,644.79 $1,721.36 -4.45%-0.35%1.36%$65,791
94Wichita, KS$1,138.71 $1,115.72 2.06%0.01%4.30%$45,548
93Toledo, OH$1,175.86 $1,150.51 2.20%0.49%4.43%$47,034
92Provo, UT$1,767.37 $1,853.67 -4.66%-0.58%1.98%$70,695
91Syracuse, NY$1,592.00 $1,546.56 2.94%0.22%4.00%$63,680
90Deltona, FL$1,771.43 $1,876.33 -5.59%-0.60%0.86%$70,857
52Rochester, NY$1,491.62 $1,454.85 2.53%0.35%5.22%$59,665
88Madison, WI$1,632.11 $1,600.42 1.98%-0.66%1.95%$65,285
87Ogden, UT$1,654.90 $1,755.38 -5.72%0.09%1.28%$66,196
86Poughkeepsie, NY$2,164.38 $2,212.76 -2.19%0.02%2.22%$86,575
85Springfield, MA$1,938.68 $1,870.36 3.65%1.01%5.79%$77,547
84Des Moines, IA$1,249.20 $1,262.85 -1.08%-0.16%1.77%$49,968
83Akron, OH$1,230.69 $1,211.85 1.55%-0.31%3.64%$49,228
82Lakeland, FL$1,833.39 $1,951.23 -6.04%-0.30%1.06%$73,336
81Little Rock, AR$1,221.19 $1,218.16 0.25%0.20%2.65%$48,848
80Colorado Springs, CO$1,688.09 $1,830.53 -7.78%-0.59%-1.38%$67,523
79Boise City, ID$1,736.92 $1,858.38 -6.54%-0.38%3.04%$69,477
78Cape Coral, FL$1,831.91 $2,056.31 -10.91%-0.10%-4.65%$73,276
13Riverside, CA$2,477.39 $2,584.62 -4.15%-0.01%1.87%$99,096
25Portland, OR$1,792.81 $1,867.50 -4.00%-0.58%0.97%$71,712
24San Antonio, TX$1,361.93 $1,468.01 -7.23%-0.62%-0.83%$54,477
23Charlotte, NC$1,715.82 $1,808.79 -5.14%-0.44%1.00%$68,633
22Orlando, FL$1,933.58 $2,061.25 -6.19%-0.36%0.51%$77,343
21St. Louis, MO$1,400.41 $1,374.36 1.90%0.16%3.64%$56,016
20Baltimore, MD$1,871.45 $1,861.07 0.56%-0.06%2.56%$74,858
19Denver, CO$1,856.49 $2,001.57 -7.25%-0.84%-1.27%$74,260
18Tampa, FL$1,999.50 $2,124.65 -5.89%-0.20%-0.76%$79,980
17San Diego, CA$2,888.73 $2,997.59 -3.63%-0.29%1.27%$115,549
16Minneapolis, MN$1,675.21 $1,681.77 -0.39%0.20%4.44%$67,008
15Seattle, WA$2,185.23 $2,245.22 -2.67%-0.43%2.57%$87,409
14Detroit, MI$1,461.07 $1,476.88 -1.07%0.19%2.66%$58,443
26Sacramento, CA$2,211.93 $2,320.86 -4.69%-0.21%2.08%$88,477
12San Francisco, CA$3,066.09 $2,999.17 2.23%-0.15%5.74%$122,643
11Phoenix, AZ$1,728.06 $1,911.14 -9.58%-0.28%-0.53%$69,122
10Boston, MA$2,989.85 $2,978.89 0.37%0.14%2.09%$119,594
9Atlanta, GA$1,818.62 $1,931.52 -5.84%-0.43%2.34%$72,745
8Miami, FL$2,651.69 $2,744.87 -3.39%-0.04%0.62%$106,067
7Philadelphia, PA$1,850.34 $1,843.29 0.38%0.07%3.06%$74,014
6Washington, DC$2,343.02 $2,359.75 -0.71%-0.45%0.74%$93,721
5Houston, TX$1,616.96 $1,659.39 -2.56%-0.26%0.04%$64,678
4Dallas, TX$1,642.10 $1,747.52 -6.03%-0.31%0.29%$65,684
3Chicago, IL$2,051.79 $1,972.28 4.03%-0.13%5.23%$82,071
2Los Angeles, CA$2,885.02 $2,957.99 -2.47%-0.33%2.22%$115,401
39Providence, RI$2,075.01 $2,044.04 1.52%0.17%5.15%$83,001
51Birmingham, AL$1,374.63 $1,386.43 -0.85%-0.13%1.85%$54,985
50Buffalo, NY$1,366.56 $1,361.80 0.35%0.18%2.71%$54,662
49Hartford, CT$1,829.67 $1,779.25 2.83%-0.20%3.28%$73,187
48Salt Lake City, UT$1,599.85 $1,716.41 -6.79%-0.83%0.72%$63,994
47New Orleans, LA$1,574.64 $1,604.88 -1.88%0.21%0.28%$62,986
46Louisville, KY$1,349.56 $1,348.99 0.04%-0.05%1.68%$53,982
45Richmond, VA$1,651.17 $1,658.59 -0.45%0.08%3.15%$66,047
44Memphis, TN$1,400.96 $1,438.51 -2.61%-0.26%1.89%$56,038
43Raleigh, NC$1,666.85 $1,764.10 -5.51%-0.36%0.21%$66,674
42Oklahoma City, OK$1,334.42 $1,330.76 0.28%-0.20%2.85%$53,377
41Milwaukee, WI$1,432.57 $1,396.64 2.57%-0.07%4.28%$57,303
40Jacksonville, FL$1,658.92 $1,762.35 -5.87%-0.43%0.40%$66,357
1New York, NY$3,225.35 $3,123.96 3.25%-0.36%4.67%$129,014
38Virginia Beach, VA$1,781.93 $1,738.88 2.48%0.47%5.43%$71,277
37Nashville, TN$1,764.55 $1,864.02 -5.34%-0.44%0.53%$70,582
36San Jose, CA$3,399.21 $3,315.75 2.52%0.12%4.87%$135,969
35Cleveland, OH$1,380.50 $1,340.12 3.01%0.18%4.38%$55,220
34Indianapolis, IN$1,494.40 $1,493.88 0.04%-0.15%3.73%$59,776
32Columbus, OH$1,445.55 $1,468.09 -1.54%-0.61%2.28%$57,822
31Kansas City, MO$1,448.20 $1,433.92 1.00%0.00%4.40%$57,928
30Las Vegas, NV$1,723.13 $1,856.49 -7.18%-0.11%0.43%$68,925
29Austin, TX$1,568.01 $1,764.14 -11.12%-0.45%-2.76%$62,721
28Cincinnati, OH$1,521.24 $1,531.34 -0.66%-0.22%2.32%$60,850
27Pittsburgh, PA$1,462.63 $1,441.62 1.46%-0.17%4.02%$58,505

Southeastern Conference Metro Areas

National Population RankingMetro AreaAverage RentWhere Average Rent Should BePremium/DiscountMonth Over Month Change Year Over Year ChangeMinimum Annual Income to NOT be Rent Burdened
253Auburn, AL$1,608.32 $1,525.99 5.40%0.08%7.36%$64,333
29Austin, TX$1,568.01 $1,764.14 -11.12%-0.45%-2.76%$62,721
217Athens, GA$1,748.81 $1,786.02 -2.08%-0.41%2.21%$69,953
66Baton Rouge, LA$1,344.48 $1,346.11 -0.12%-0.29%0.92%$53,779
189College Station, TX$1,903.56 $1,826.06 4.24%-1.15%4.34%$76,142
219Columbia, MO$1,324.61 $1,246.64 6.25%-0.33%6.03%$52,984
72Columbia, SC$1,541.96 $1,524.27 1.16%-0.05%4.13%$61,679
108Fayetteville, AR$1,545.26 $1,534.38 0.71%0.21%3.62%$61,810
155Gainesville, FL$1,681.40 $1,728.25 -2.71%-0.44%3.02%$67,256
65Knoxville, TN$1,714.68 $1,766.39 -2.93%-0.04%0.84%$68,587
110Lexington, KY$1,527.91 $1,469.66 3.96%-0.32%5.38%$61,116
37Nashville, TN$1,764.55 $1,864.02 -5.34%-0.44%0.53%$70,582
42Oklahoma City, OK$1,334.42 $1,330.76 0.28%-0.20%2.85%$53,377
564Oxford, MS$2,643.14 $2,276.88 16.09%0.41%5.58%$105,725
529Starkville, MS$1,489.42 $1,386.65 7.41%1.16%3.13%$59,577
188Tuscaloosa, AL$1,537.11 $1,459.36 5.33%-0.40%5.87%$61,484