WALLER, WEEKS AND JOHNSON RENTAL INDEX

In the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, rental rates across the United States have soared to record highs. To help demonstrate the rise in rents, the interactive tools on this page rank the most overvalued rental markets from among the nation’s largest metropolitan areas. Past leasing data from Zillow’s Observed Rent Index (ZORI) is used to model the rental trend for each measured metro. The data shows where rents should be (based on a history of rents) compared with actual, current rents. This premium or discount is defined as the percentage difference between statistically modeled prices and actual rental prices. Actual average rent, statistically predicted rent, month-over-month (M-O-M) change in rent, and year-over-year (Y-O-Y) change in rent for each metro are provided as well.

This ongoing, monthly reported project is co-produced by the Alabama Center of Real Estate at The University of Alabama, the Florida Atlantic University Real Estate Initiative, and Florida Gulf Coast University’s Lucas Institute for Real Estate Development & Finance

September 2025 Data

USA

LocationAverage RentWhere Average Rent Should BePremium/DiscountMonth Over Month Change Year Over Year ChangeMinimum Annual Income to NOT be Rent Burdened
United States$1,978.61$1,987.43-0.44%-0.06%2.35%$79,144

Note about cost-burdened (rent-burdened) households:

The Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) defines cost-burdened families as those “who pay more than 30% of their income for housing including utilities and may have difficulty affording necessities such as food, clothing, transportation, or medical care.” All calculations include rent only, not utilities. 

Alabama Metro Areas

National Population RankingMetro AreaAverage RentWhere Average Rent Should BePremium/DiscountMonth Over Month Change Year Over Year ChangeMinimum Annual Income to NOT be Rent Burdened
293Dothan, AL$1,314.71 $1,224.02 7.41%-2.73%3.86%$52,588
608Ozark, AL$1,281.33 $1,190.03 7.67%0.74%6.66%$51,253
585Enterprise, AL$1,362.23 $1,334.09 2.11%1.84%3.98%$54,489
508Jasper, AL$1,429.33 $1,393.74 2.55%-1.38%-2.64%$57,173
443Talladega, AL$1,214.44 $1,157.57 4.91%1.59%2.17%$48,578
424Cullman, AL$1,554.44 $1,491.87 4.19%-2.56%3.41%$62,178
406Albertville, AL$1,438.61 $1,332.29 7.98%0.48%9.07%$57,544
383Gadsden, AL$1,022.50 $1,003.42 1.90%-1.13%2.61%$40,900
357Anniston, AL$1,051.35 $990.99 6.09%0.58%3.14%$42,054
51Birmingham, AL$1,396.21 $1,384.36 0.86%-0.37%2.73%$55,848
292Florence, AL$1,150.99 $1,078.84 6.69%-0.52%3.85%$46,040
276Decatur, AL$1,255.68 $1,175.70 6.80%-2.22%3.41%$50,227
253Auburn, AL$1,651.06 $1,567.45 5.33%1.11%4.99%$66,042
203Daphne, AL$1,688.04 $1,719.14 -1.81%0.74%0.95%$67,521
188Tuscaloosa, AL$1,655.45 $1,577.94 4.91%1.89%5.10%$66,218
143Montgomery, AL$1,344.29 $1,291.25 4.11%0.24%4.22%$53,772
127Mobile, AL$1,274.34 $1,251.76 1.80%0.54%3.25%$50,974
114Huntsville, AL$1,400.20 $1,483.16 -5.59%0.12%0.44%$56,008

National Metro Areas

National Population RankingMetro AreaAverage RentWhere Average Rent Should BePremium/DiscountMonth Over Month Change Year Over Year ChangeMinimum Annual Income to NOT be Rent Burdened
63Bakersfield, CA$1,809.06 $1,811.15 -0.12%0.08%3.41%$72,362
75Charleston, SC$2,000.01 $1,998.27 0.09%-0.50%1.50%$80,000
74Dayton, OH$1,359.67 $1,331.15 2.14%0.15%4.05%$54,387
73North Port, FL$2,150.32 $2,302.10 -6.59%-0.04%-1.41%$86,013
72Columbia, SC$1,598.96 $1,565.44 2.14%0.29%4.56%$63,958
71Oxnard, CA$3,034.48 $3,060.62 -0.85%-0.70%3.01%$121,379
70Allentown, PA$1,796.57 $1,779.90 0.94%-0.06%3.36%$71,863
69El Paso, TX$1,529.21 $1,511.64 1.16%0.20%2.94%$61,168
68New Haven, CT$2,011.50 $1,931.52 4.14%0.42%4.00%$80,460
67McAllen, TX$1,145.67 $1,161.86 -1.39%-0.57%0.59%$45,827
66Baton Rouge, LA$1,363.61 $1,343.94 1.46%0.05%1.93%$54,544
65Knoxville, TN$1,774.20 $1,783.53 -0.52%-0.28%2.19%$70,968
64Albany, NY$1,607.60 $1,558.18 3.17%-0.24%4.54%$64,304
76Greensboro, NC$1,436.62 $1,423.80 0.90%0.17%3.26%$57,465
62Albuquerque, NM$1,561.21 $1,562.73 -0.10%-0.01%2.49%$62,448
61Greenville, SC$1,582.37 $1,592.53 -0.64%0.04%3.41%$63,295
60Bridgeport, CT$2,879.63 $2,803.22 2.73%0.12%3.76%$115,185
59Omaha, NE$1,409.05 $1,378.89 2.19%0.02%3.56%$56,362
58Worcester, MA$2,121.95 $2,059.21 3.05%-0.14%4.92%$84,878
57Fresno, CA$2,057.13 $2,099.23 -2.01%-0.27%2.32%$82,285
56Tulsa, OK$1,388.22 $1,366.04 1.62%0.37%2.69%$55,529
55Urban Honolulu, HI$2,845.36 $2,741.58 3.79%0.36%4.53%$113,814
54Tucson, AZ$1,546.84 $1,620.71 -4.56%-0.02%0.53%$61,874
53Grand Rapids, MI$1,614.97 $1,609.15 0.36%-0.43%3.60%$64,599
52Rochester, NY$1,508.28 $1,459.08 3.37%0.24%5.85%$60,331
88Madison, WI$1,803.45 $1,743.90 3.41%0.84%4.21%$72,138
100Spokane, WA$1,522.34 $1,601.04 -4.92%0.30%2.31%$60,894
99Harrisburg, PA$1,435.44 $1,410.10 1.80%0.65%4.56%$57,418
98Jackson, MS$1,485.71 $1,425.64 4.21%0.12%4.32%$59,428
97Palm Bay, FL$1,950.00 $2,046.12 -4.70%0.11%0.95%$78,000
96Augusta, GA$1,468.82 $1,453.20 1.07%-0.08%5.18%$58,753
95Durham, NC$1,665.32 $1,723.99 -3.40%-0.47%0.38%$66,613
94Wichita, KS$1,186.85 $1,147.05 3.47%0.25%4.07%$47,474
93Toledo, OH$1,173.02 $1,147.50 2.22%0.29%3.56%$46,921
92Provo, UT$1,805.62 $1,856.76 -2.75%-0.13%1.62%$72,225
91Syracuse, NY$1,610.96 $1,542.42 4.44%1.01%6.43%$64,439
90Deltona, FL$1,842.83 $1,914.77 -3.76%0.15%1.45%$73,713
89Winston, NC$1,583.19 $1,559.76 1.50%-0.13%4.29%$63,327
51Birmingham, AL$1,396.21 $1,384.36 0.86%-0.37%2.73%$55,848
87Ogden, UT$1,698.07 $1,760.89 -3.57%-0.36%2.40%$67,923
86Poughkeepsie, NY$2,203.30 $2,209.52 -0.28%0.31%2.79%$88,132
85Springfield, MA$1,899.68 $1,836.07 3.46%0.03%4.54%$75,987
84Des Moines, IA$1,277.66 $1,267.34 0.81%-0.12%1.20%$51,106
83Akron, OH$1,299.45 $1,240.74 4.73%1.15%5.20%$51,978
82Lakeland, FL$1,881.93 $1,972.44 -4.59%-0.10%1.19%$75,277
81Little Rock, AR$1,194.79 $1,186.75 0.68%-0.16%1.70%$47,792
80Colorado Springs, CO$1,792.37 $1,892.77 -5.30%-0.60%-0.38%$71,695
79Boise City, ID$1,802.47 $1,885.35 -4.40%-0.42%2.87%$72,099
78Cape Coral, FL$1,924.09 $2,117.35 -9.13%-0.35%-3.62%$76,964
77Stockton, CA$2,428.28 $2,532.11 -4.10%-0.55%1.91%$97,131
12San Francisco, CA$3,147.85 $3,050.01 3.21%0.35%5.58%$125,914
24San Antonio, TX$1,459.18 $1,537.43 -5.09%-0.51%-1.10%$58,367
23Charlotte, NC$1,770.31 $1,829.69 -3.25%-0.23%1.25%$70,812
22Orlando, FL$1,988.69 $2,078.44 -4.32%-0.31%0.32%$79,548
21St. Louis, MO$1,406.65 $1,366.77 2.92%0.13%4.02%$56,266
20Baltimore, MD$1,942.95 $1,906.19 1.93%0.21%2.99%$77,718
19Denver, CO$1,948.84 $2,036.57 -4.31%-0.73%-2.09%$77,954
18Tampa, FL$2,055.38 $2,140.94 -4.00%-0.43%1.79%$82,215
17San Diego, CA$3,015.72 $3,071.35 -1.81%-0.09%1.87%$120,629
16Minneapolis, MN$1,704.76 $1,697.67 0.42%-0.06%3.91%$68,190
15Seattle, WA$2,258.46 $2,274.59 -0.71%-0.30%2.58%$90,338
14Detroit, MI$1,510.38 $1,508.92 0.10%0.06%3.02%$60,415
13Riverside, CA$2,536.40 $2,616.64 -3.07%0.12%2.03%$101,456
25Portland, OR$1,859.66 $1,891.49 -1.68%-0.27%1.21%$74,387
11Phoenix, AZ$1,776.29 $1,933.35 -8.12%-0.19%-0.77%$71,052
10Boston, MA$2,964.75 $2,913.22 1.77%-0.46%2.91%$118,590
9Atlanta, GA$1,882.29 $1,963.63 -4.14%0.20%2.49%$75,292
8Miami, FL$2,678.84 $2,741.93 -2.30%0.00%0.81%$107,154
7Philadelphia, PA$1,880.92 $1,854.07 1.45%0.27%3.72%$75,237
6Washington, DC$2,414.31 $2,371.64 1.80%-0.44%1.37%$96,572
5Houston, TX$1,674.70 $1,691.25 -0.98%0.09%0.49%$66,988
4Dallas, TX$1,706.10 $1,787.11 -4.53%-0.24%0.12%$68,244
3Chicago, IL$2,112.81 $1,992.93 6.02%-0.07%6.03%$84,512
2Los Angeles, CA$2,954.47 $2,985.86 -1.05%-0.02%2.45%$118,179
1New York, NY$3,512.30 $3,314.76 5.96%-0.07%5.25%$140,492
38Virginia Beach, VA$1,819.57 $1,767.36 2.95%0.06%4.18%$72,783
50Buffalo, NY$1,381.58 $1,362.37 1.41%0.24%3.02%$55,263
49Hartford, CT$1,935.92 $1,851.08 4.58%-0.10%3.79%$77,437
48Salt Lake City, UT$1,667.94 $1,741.78 -4.24%-0.31%0.14%$66,718
47New Orleans, LA$1,620.71 $1,636.99 -0.99%-0.36%0.55%$64,829
46Louisville, KY$1,357.95 $1,335.27 1.70%0.02%2.90%$54,318
45Richmond, VA$1,704.64 $1,677.45 1.62%-0.18%3.87%$68,186
44Memphis, TN$1,484.63 $1,504.79 -1.34%-0.04%1.91%$59,385
43Raleigh, NC$1,712.61 $1,777.39 -3.64%-0.33%0.73%$68,505
42Oklahoma City, OK$1,372.23 $1,348.73 1.74%0.24%3.08%$54,889
41Milwaukee, WI$1,451.05 $1,410.27 2.89%0.19%4.04%$58,042
40Jacksonville, FL$1,706.11 $1,776.68 -3.97%0.02%1.07%$68,244
39Providence, RI$2,168.47 $2,129.13 1.85%-0.13%4.62%$86,739
0United States$1,978.61 $1,987.43 -0.44%-0.06%2.35%$79,144
37Nashville, TN$1,814.92 $1,878.19 -3.37%-0.35%0.62%$72,597
36San Jose, CA$3,500.10 $3,373.91 3.74%-0.04%3.67%$140,004
35Cleveland, OH$1,419.05 $1,370.50 3.54%0.43%4.93%$56,762
34Indianapolis, IN$1,510.51 $1,490.05 1.37%-0.01%3.48%$60,421
32Columbus, OH$1,561.83 $1,554.84 0.45%-0.04%2.75%$62,473
31Kansas City, MO$1,510.43 $1,469.95 2.75%-0.04%4.51%$60,417
30Las Vegas, NV$1,753.89 $1,861.97 -5.80%-0.54%0.22%$70,155
29Austin, TX$1,615.51 $1,786.79 -9.59%-0.76%-3.31%$64,620
28Cincinnati, OH$1,539.36 $1,517.58 1.44%0.03%3.45%$61,574
27Pittsburgh, PA$1,463.71 $1,425.88 2.65%-0.01%3.89%$58,548
26Sacramento, CA$2,300.23 $2,379.47 -3.33%-0.11%2.05%$92,009

Southeastern Conference Metro Areas

National Population RankingMetro AreaAverage RentWhere Average Rent Should BePremium/DiscountMonth Over Month Change Year Over Year ChangeMinimum Annual Income to NOT be Rent Burdened
29Austin, TX$1,615.51 $1,786.79 -9.59%-0.76%-3.31%$64,620
37Nashville, TN$1,814.92 $1,878.19 -3.37%-0.35%0.62%$72,597
42Oklahoma City, OK$1,372.23 $1,348.73 1.74%0.24%3.08%$54,889
65Knoxville, TN$1,774.20 $1,783.53 -0.52%-0.28%2.19%$70,968
66Baton Rouge, LA$1,363.61 $1,343.94 1.46%0.05%1.93%$54,544
72Columbia, SC$1,598.96 $1,565.44 2.14%0.29%4.56%$63,958
108Fayetteville, AR$1,578.57 $1,554.59 1.54%-0.13%3.66%$63,143
110Lexington, KY$1,554.41 $1,473.34 5.50%1.35%5.49%$62,176
155Gainesville, FL$1,654.44 $1,675.45 -1.25%0.72%3.14%$66,178
188Tuscaloosa, AL$1,655.45 $1,577.94 4.91%1.89%5.10%$66,218
189College Station, TX$1,605.14 $1,517.05 5.81%2.46%5.21%$64,205
217Athens, GA$1,695.24 $1,726.92 -1.83%1.44%2.07%$67,810
219Columbia, MO$1,255.53 $1,192.09 5.32%0.52%3.91%$50,221
253Auburn, AL$1,651.06 $1,567.45 5.33%1.11%4.99%$66,042
529Starkville, MS$1,204.36 $1,155.94 4.19%-0.69%2.69%$48,174
564Oxford, MS$2,057.06 $1,767.61 16.38%1.76%5.04%$82,283