WALLER, WEEKS AND JOHNSON RENTAL INDEX

In the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, rental rates across the United States have soared to record highs. To help demonstrate the rise in rents, the interactive tools on this page rank the most overvalued rental markets from among the nation’s largest metropolitan areas. Past leasing data from Zillow’s Observed Rent Index (ZORI) is used to model the rental trend for each measured metro. The data shows where rents should be (based on a history of rents) compared with actual, current rents. This premium or discount is defined as the percentage difference between statistically modeled prices and actual rental prices. Actual average rent, statistically predicted rent, month-over-month (M-O-M) change in rent, and year-over-year (Y-O-Y) change in rent for each metro are provided as well.

This ongoing, monthly reported project is co-produced by the Alabama Center of Real Estate at The University of Alabama, the Florida Atlantic University Real Estate Initiative, and Florida Gulf Coast University’s Lucas Institute for Real Estate Development & Finance

January 2025 Data

USA

LocationAverage RentWhere Average Rent Should BePremium/DiscountMonth Over Month Change Year Over Year ChangeMinimum Annual Income to NOT be Rent Burdened
United States$1,968.04$1,963.710.22%0.24%3.46%$78,722

Note about cost-burdened (rent-burdened) households:

The Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) defines cost-burdened families as those “who pay more than 30% of their income for housing including utilities and may have difficulty affording necessities such as food, clothing, transportation, or medical care.” All calculations include rent only, not utilities. 

Alabama Metro Areas

National Population RankingMetro AreaAverage RentWhere Average Rent Should BePremium/DiscountMonth Over Month Change Year Over Year ChangeMinimum Annual Income to NOT be Rent Burdened
292Florence, AL$1,073.26 $957.93 12.04%-0.04%10.73%$42,930
406Albertville, AL$1,800.00 $1,800.00 0.00%0.00%0.00%$72,000
788Troy, AL$1,200.00 $1,200.00 0.00%0.00%0.00%$48,000
608Ozark, AL$1,192.17 $1,043.27 14.27%3.51%18.54%$47,687
585Enterprise, AL$1,375.46 $1,328.62 3.53%0.61%5.37%$55,019
508Jasper, AL$1,132.50 $1,075.42 5.31%-0.85%4.20%$45,300
443Talladega, AL$1,172.50 $1,101.12 6.48%-0.81%4.78%$46,900
357Anniston, AL$990.48 $931.22 6.36%-0.50%5.17%$39,619
293Dothan, AL$1,230.06 $1,154.06 6.58%-0.32%6.04%$49,202
51Birmingham, AL$1,337.42 $1,314.96 1.71%0.48%5.16%$53,497
276Decatur, AL$1,321.47 $1,234.98 7.00%-0.31%5.27%$52,859
253Auburn, AL$1,540.22 $1,451.52 6.11%0.12%8.97%$61,609
203Daphne, AL$1,608.56 $1,662.10 -3.22%-0.28%2.26%$64,342
188Tuscaloosa, AL$1,548.98 $1,467.56 5.55%-1.54%6.89%$61,959
143Montgomery, AL$1,326.54 $1,274.55 4.08%0.79%5.47%$53,062
127Mobile, AL$1,263.17 $1,225.30 3.09%0.89%2.99%$50,527
114Huntsville, AL$1,450.49 $1,516.22 -4.34%-0.61%1.12%$58,020

National Metro Areas

National Population RankingMetro AreaAverage RentWhere Average Rent Should BePremium/DiscountMonth Over Month Change Year Over Year ChangeMinimum Annual Income to NOT be Rent Burdened
63Bakersfield, CA$1,821.10 $1,811.32 0.54%0.58%3.80%$72,844
75Charleston, SC$1,984.07 $1,959.87 1.23%-0.18%2.65%$79,363
74Dayton, OH$1,281.24 $1,251.95 2.34%0.18%4.51%$51,249
73North Port, FL$2,268.27 $2,285.28 -0.74%-0.01%2.81%$90,731
72Columbia, SC$1,576.08 $1,524.58 3.38%0.65%5.22%$63,043
71Oxnard, CA$3,031.76 $3,001.89 1.00%1.11%4.66%$121,271
70Allentown, PA$1,753.67 $1,722.37 1.82%0.43%5.72%$70,147
69El Paso, TX$1,495.97 $1,458.42 2.58%0.26%3.51%$59,839
68New Haven, CT$1,947.32 $1,852.37 5.13%-0.23%5.69%$77,893
67McAllen, TX$1,147.94 $1,141.43 0.57%0.82%1.39%$45,918
66Baton Rouge, LA$1,342.74 $1,326.00 1.26%-0.55%2.12%$53,709
65Knoxville, TN$1,794.65 $1,766.47 1.60%-0.16%3.04%$71,786
64Albany, NY$1,576.79 $1,542.84 2.20%-0.06%4.51%$63,072
76Greensboro, NC$1,461.28 $1,442.62 1.29%-0.29%4.10%$58,451
62Albuquerque, NM$1,587.19 $1,573.49 0.87%0.24%3.10%$63,488
61Greenville, SC$1,537.63 $1,505.73 2.12%0.69%4.95%$61,505
60Bridgeport, CT$2,749.05 $2,627.57 4.62%1.15%7.74%$109,962
59Omaha, NE$1,348.47 $1,311.99 2.78%0.39%5.05%$53,939
58Worcester, MA$2,055.52 $1,982.35 3.69%0.77%7.58%$82,221
57Fresno, CA$2,018.57 $2,036.03 -0.86%0.62%3.98%$80,743
56Tulsa, OK$1,412.92 $1,387.04 1.87%-0.19%3.35%$56,517
55Urban Honolulu, HI$2,745.80 $2,667.86 2.92%-0.38%4.79%$109,832
54Tucson, AZ$1,573.84 $1,607.02 -2.06%0.03%1.94%$62,954
53Grand Rapids, MI$1,734.25 $1,724.37 0.57%0.45%4.02%$69,370
52Rochester, NY$1,498.05 $1,437.96 4.18%1.16%6.00%$59,922
88Madison, WI$1,650.40 $1,576.04 4.72%-0.64%4.55%$66,016
100Spokane, WA$1,474.74 $1,557.46 -5.31%-0.40%2.25%$58,990
99Harrisburg, PA$1,354.55 $1,336.37 1.36%0.16%4.71%$54,182
98Jackson, MS$1,404.89 $1,343.94 4.53%0.45%6.62%$56,195
97Palm Bay, FL$1,952.20 $2,010.95 -2.92%-0.19%2.54%$78,088
96Augusta, GA$1,408.88 $1,374.91 2.47%0.53%5.88%$56,355
95Durham, NC$1,622.66 $1,666.82 -2.65%0.06%1.30%$64,906
94Wichita, KS$1,113.03 $1,077.82 3.27%0.84%3.91%$44,521
93Toledo, OH$1,142.81 $1,107.33 3.20%0.15%5.33%$45,712
92Provo, UT$1,771.05 $1,832.52 -3.35%-0.77%1.47%$70,842
91Syracuse, NY$1,543.80 $1,463.24 5.51%-0.16%6.13%$61,752
90Deltona, FL$1,876.07 $1,917.17 -2.14%0.48%2.48%$75,043
89Winston, NC$1,544.15 $1,528.99 0.99%-1.14%5.60%$61,766
51Birmingham, AL$1,337.42 $1,314.96 1.71%-0.18%4.13%$53,497
87Ogden, UT$1,624.15 $1,675.05 -3.04%0.40%2.97%$64,966
86Poughkeepsie, NY$2,185.68 $2,162.75 1.06%0.58%4.23%$87,427
85Springfield, MA$1,839.47 $1,773.57 3.72%-0.46%4.00%$73,579
84Des Moines, IA$1,257.21 $1,255.65 0.12%0.13%2.00%$50,288
83Akron, OH$1,238.36 $1,188.87 4.16%0.49%4.87%$49,534
82Lakeland, FL$1,873.06 $1,930.12 -2.96%0.51%1.75%$74,922
81Little Rock, AR$1,214.14 $1,195.77 1.54%0.06%2.55%$48,565
80Colorado Springs, CO$1,793.83 $1,872.86 -4.22%-0.14%1.44%$71,753
79Boise City, ID$1,738.93 $1,847.26 -5.86%0.14%3.81%$69,557
78Cape Coral, FL$2,002.25 $2,094.07 -4.38%-0.20%-2.10%$80,090
77Stockton, CA$2,434.21 $2,520.03 -3.41%0.16%3.38%$97,368
13Riverside, CA$2,547.69 $2,583.68 -1.39%0.46%4.32%$101,907
25Portland, OR$1,816.77 $1,857.19 -2.18%-0.12%3.55%$72,671
24San Antonio, TX$1,430.78 $1,498.75 -4.53%0.48%-0.78%$57,231
23Charlotte, NC$1,753.96 $1,799.05 -2.51%0.23%1.96%$70,159
22Orlando, FL$1,978.87 $2,043.35 -3.16%0.34%1.47%$79,155
21St. Louis, MO$1,378.33 $1,327.96 3.79%0.36%5.78%$55,133
20Baltimore, MD$1,843.14 $1,803.55 2.20%0.31%4.57%$73,726
19Denver, CO$1,918.03 $2,005.53 -4.36%-0.40%-0.85%$76,721
18Tampa, FL$2,085.24 $2,093.99 -0.42%0.39%3.63%$83,409
17San Diego, CA$3,009.81 $3,040.25 -1.00%0.01%3.17%$120,392
16Minneapolis, MN$1,636.75 $1,654.42 -1.07%0.49%3.34%$65,470
15Seattle, WA$2,224.27 $2,257.66 -1.48%0.25%3.88%$88,971
14Detroit, MI$1,449.10 $1,438.66 0.73%0.13%4.80%$57,964
26Sacramento, CA$2,258.62 $2,342.06 -3.56%-0.04%3.17%$90,345
12San Francisco, CA$2,988.37 $2,996.25 -0.26%0.43%3.96%$119,535
11Phoenix, AZ$1,793.68 $1,919.40 -6.55%0.11%0.87%$71,747
10Boston, MA$3,077.69 $2,979.68 3.29%0.85%3.74%$123,108
9Atlanta, GA$1,870.87 $1,957.94 -4.45%0.22%1.97%$74,835
8Miami, FL$2,693.64 $2,678.71 0.56%0.09%2.31%$107,746
7Philadelphia, PA$1,864.63 $1,830.98 1.84%0.24%4.48%$74,585
6Washington, DC$2,354.77 $2,289.34 2.86%0.49%4.80%$94,191
5Houston, TX$1,666.65 $1,663.64 0.18%-0.08%2.34%$66,666
4Dallas, TX$1,719.09 $1,786.55 -3.78%-0.09%0.45%$68,764
3Chicago, IL$2,026.31 $1,938.54 4.53%0.37%5.68%$81,052
2Los Angeles, CA$2,954.05 $2,967.01 -0.44%0.76%3.58%$118,162
39Providence, RI$2,044.45 $1,973.62 3.59%0.75%6.52%$81,778
50Buffalo, NY$1,317.19 $1,283.55 2.62%-0.02%5.28%$52,687
49Hartford, CT$1,854.55 $1,748.52 6.06%0.26%7.84%$74,182
48Salt Lake City, UT$1,652.15 $1,730.33 -4.52%-0.10%0.99%$66,086
47New Orleans, LA$1,625.03 $1,599.97 1.57%0.22%3.69%$65,001
46Louisville, KY$1,378.65 $1,336.52 3.15%-0.10%4.56%$55,146
45Richmond, VA$1,643.39 $1,622.18 1.31%0.02%5.68%$65,736
44Memphis, TN$1,410.85 $1,416.62 -0.41%0.07%2.70%$56,434
43Raleigh, NC$1,719.67 $1,766.46 -2.65%0.20%1.53%$68,787
42Oklahoma City, OK$1,359.39 $1,334.53 1.86%0.25%3.52%$54,376
41Milwaukee, WI$1,414.74 $1,364.29 3.70%0.49%4.71%$56,590
40Jacksonville, FL$1,699.95 $1,753.04 -3.03%0.05%2.05%$67,998
1New York, NY$3,193.15 $3,081.83 3.61%0.32%4.15%$127,726
38Virginia Beach, VA$1,751.96 $1,702.83 2.89%0.46%5.64%$70,078
37Nashville, TN$1,834.91 $1,887.10 -2.77%0.07%1.99%$73,396
36San Jose, CA$3,235.81 $3,210.89 0.78%0.09%4.06%$129,433
35Cleveland, OH$1,368.36 $1,300.41 5.23%0.95%7.28%$54,734
34Indianapolis, IN$1,513.25 $1,480.89 2.18%0.72%4.89%$60,530
32Columbus, OH$1,458.53 $1,438.22 1.41%0.23%5.28%$58,341
31Kansas City, MO$1,463.24 $1,422.91 2.83%0.86%5.20%$58,530
30Las Vegas, NV$1,760.50 $1,845.37 -4.60%0.11%2.35%$70,420
29Austin, TX$1,671.57 $1,816.27 -7.97%-0.06%-2.66%$66,863
28Cincinnati, OH$1,521.05 $1,490.46 2.05%-0.23%4.64%$60,842
27Pittsburgh, PA$1,438.30 $1,410.01 2.01%0.22%3.74%$57,532

Southeastern Conference Metro Areas

National Population RankingMetro AreaAverage RentWhere Average Rent Should BePremium/DiscountMonth Over Month Change Year Over Year ChangeMinimum Annual Income to NOT be Rent Burdened
37Nashville, TN$1,834.91 $1,887.10 -2.77%0.07%1.99%$73,396
65Knoxville, TN$1,794.65 $1,766.47 1.60%-0.16%3.04%$71,786
66Baton Rouge, LA$1,342.74 $1,326.00 1.26%-0.55%2.12%$53,709
72Columbia, SC$1,576.08 $1,524.58 3.38%0.65%5.22%$63,043
108Fayetteville, AR$1,596.82 $1,533.77 4.11%0.86%7.33%$63,873
110Lexington, KY$1,404.71 $1,348.87 4.14%-0.29%5.82%$56,188
155Gainesville, FL$1,648.60 $1,660.28 -0.70%0.31%3.05%$65,944
188Tuscaloosa, AL$1,548.98 $1,467.56 5.55%-1.54%6.89%$61,959
189College Station, TX$1,800.90 $1,708.28 5.42%0.04%4.87%$72,036
217Athens, GA$1,882.91 $1,859.39 1.26%0.12%4.41%$75,317
72Columbia, SC$1,576.08 $1,524.58 3.38%0.65%5.22%$63,043
253Auburn, AL$1,540.22 $1,451.52 6.11%0.12%8.97%$61,609
529Starkville, MS$1,305.67 $1,214.33 7.52%0.32%6.21%$52,227
564Oxford, MS$2,191.71 $1,804.70 21.44%-1.89%22.30%$87,668
29Austin, TX$1,671.57 $1,816.27 -7.97%-0.06%-2.66%$66,863
42Oklahoma City, OK$1,359.39 $1,334.53 1.86%0.25%3.52%$54,376
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