Baldwin County Begins 2020 with Significant Rise in Condo Sales

Sales: According to the Baldwin Realtors, January condominium sales increased 45.2% year-over-year from 73 to 106 closed transactions. Following seasonal trends, sales decreased 27.4% from December. Results were 12.3% above the 5-year January average of 94 sales. Two more resources to review: Quarterly Report and Annual Report.

For all of Baldwin County’s condominium data, click here.

Inventory: Total condos listed for sale in January declined 16.9% year-over-year from 738 to 613 listings. The market currently has 5.8 months of supply, down 42.8% from 10.1 months of supply in January 2019.

Pricing: The Baldwin County condo median sales price in January was $422,500, an increase of 28% from one year ago and an increase of 15.4% from the prior month. This direction is consistent with historical data (2015-2019) indicating that the January median sales price on average increases from December by 4%. The differing sample size (number of residential sales of comparative months) can contribute to statistical volatility, including pricing. ACRE recommends consulting with a local real estate professional to discuss pricing, as it will vary from neighborhood to neighborhood. The average number of days on the market (DOM) for condos sold during January was 108 days, up 27.1% from 85 days one year ago and down 6.9% from 116 days in December 2019.

Forecast: January sales were two units, or 1.9%, below the Alabama Center for Real Estate’s (ACRE) monthly forecast. ACRE projected 108 sales for the month, while actual sales were 106 units.

ACRE’s statewide perspective: Residential sales growth was especially strong in January as total residential sales increased 23.2% year-over-year from 3,347 to 4,122 closed transactions. Markets across the state have plenty of momentum as 2019 was a record year for residential sales in Alabama. Home price appreciation continued to climb as the median sales price in January increased 11.8% year-over-year, marking 27 consecutive months of gains. While properties listed for sale nationwide decreased 10.7% year-over-year, Alabama’s residential listings continued to tighten, decreasing 17% from one year ago. Low inventory levels were a significant factor contributing to rising sales prices throughout 2019 and continued into January. With low inventory levels, it is not surprising to see homes selling at a slightly quicker pace. Homes selling in Alabama during January spent an average of 92 days on the market, a decrease of 15 days from January 2019.

NAR’s national perspective: Existing home sales increased significantly in January, rising 11.6% year-over-year from approximately 285,000 closed transactions one year ago to 318,000 currently. The nationwide median existing-home price increased 6.8% in January, marking 95 consecutive months of year-over-year gains. Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, said, “The trend line for housing starts is increasing and showing steady improvement, which should ultimately lead to more home sales. Mortgage rates have helped with affordability, but it is supply conditions that have driven price growth.” Properties listed for sale nationwide declined 10.7% in January from approximately 1.59 million listings one year ago to 1.42 million currently.

Click here to view the entire monthly report.

The Baldwin County Condominium Monthly Report is developed in conjunction with the Baldwin Realtors to better serve Gulf Coast consumers.