ALABAMA REAL ESTATE JOURNAL

Marshall County home sales up significantly in February

Sales: According to the Marshall County Board of Realtors, February residential sales increased 29.9% year-over-year (Y/Y) from 67 to 87 closed transactions, marking nine consecutive months of Y/Y gains. Going against seasonal trends, sales decreased 4.4% from January. Sales are now up 39.1% year-to-date. Two more resources to review: Quarterly Report and Annual Report.

For all of Marshall County’s housing data, click here.

Inventory: Total homes listed for sale in February declined 63.1% year-over-year from 274 to 101 listings. Months of supply dropped from 4.1 to 1.2, reflecting a market where sellers generally have elevated bargaining power.

Pricing: The area’s median sales price in February was $189,900, an increase of 31.0% from one year ago and a decrease of 4.3% from January. The differing sample size (number of residential sales of comparative months) can contribute to statistical volatility, including pricing. ACRE recommends consulting with a local real estate professional to discuss pricing, as it will vary from neighborhood to neighborhood.

Homes sold in February averaged 49 days on the market (DOM), 24 days faster than February 2020.

Forecast: February sales were 2 units, or 2.5%, above the Alabama Center for Real Estate’s (ACRE) monthly forecast. ACRE projected 85 sales for the month, while actual sales were 87 units. ACRE forecast a total of 169 sales in the area year-to-date, while there were 178 actual sales through February, a difference of 5.3%.

NAR commentary: According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), existing home sales nationwide decreased in February, falling 6.6% from January (seasonally adjusted annual rate). However, sales did increase year-over-year, rising 9.1% from February 2020. Sales prices continue to grow at higher rates than before the pandemic, rising 15.8% year-over-year. Rising home prices are largely a result of housing inventory remaining at a record low of 1.03 million listings in February, representing a record decline of 29.5% year-over-year.

Lawrence Yun, chief economist for NAR said, “Despite the drop in home sales for February – which I would attribute to historically-low inventory – the market is still outperforming pre-pandemic levels. I still expect this year’s sales to be ahead of last year’s, and with more COVID-19 vaccinations being distributed and available to larger shares of the population, the nation is on the cusp of returning to a sense of normalcy. Many Americans have been saving money and there’s a strong possibility that once the country fully reopens, those reserves will be unleashed on the economy.”

Yun also cautioned that home sales could slow in the months ahead as higher prices and rising mortgage rates decrease home affordability.

ACRE commentary: Home sales in Alabama increased 14.7% year-over-year (Y/Y) in February, marking nine consecutive months of Y/Y gains. The strong rebound in demand seen during the second half of 2020 has extended into 2021. Year-over-year growth rates, however, have moderated somewhat since reaching a peak of 26.6% in the fourth quarter of 2020. Home sales prices continued their upward trend in February, rising 13.1% Y/Y, mainly a result of market fundamentals (increased demand and continued reduction in supply). Housing inventory in the state reached a record low of 9,950 listings in February, falling 44% Y/Y, a record decline.

Click here to view the entire monthly report.

The Marshall County Residential Monthly Report is developed in conjunction with the Marshall County Board of Realtors to better serve area consumers.

Editor’s Note: All information in this article reflects data provided to the Alabama Center for Real Estate for the time period February 1 – 28, 2021. Thus, the performance represented is historical and should not be used as an indicator of future results.

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