Shoals-area home sales decrease 7% in August

Sales: According to the Shoals Area Association of Realtors, August residential sales decreased 7.0% year-over-year from 228 to 212 closed transactions. Following seasonal trends, sales decreased 9.4% from July. Sales are now up 10.8% year-to-date. Two more resources to review: Quarterly Report and Annual Report.  

For all of the Shoals Area’s housing data, click here.

Inventory: August listings (327) declined 1.8% from July and 15.3% from one year ago. At the current sales pace, all the active inventory on the market would sell in 1.5 months, up from 1.4 month in July and down from 1.7 months in August 2020. The equilibrium point where buyers and sellers have roughly equal bargaining power is 6 months of supply.

Pricing: The area’s median sales price in August was $170,700, a decrease of 2.4% from one year ago and a decrease of 0.2% from July. The differing sample size (number of residential sales of comparative months) can contribute to statistical volatility, including pricing. ACRE recommends consulting with a local real estate professional to discuss pricing, as it will vary from neighborhood to neighborhood.

Homes sold in August averaged 42 days on the market (DOM), 20 days faster than August 2020. 

Forecast: August sales were 48 units, or 18.6%, below the Alabama Center for Real Estate’s (ACRE) monthly forecast. ACRE projected 260 sales for the month, while actual sales were 212 units. ACRE forecast a total of 1871 sales in the area year-to-date, while there were 1775 actual sales through August, a difference of 5.2%.   

NAR Commentary: According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), existing home sales nationwide decreased in August, down 2% from July (seasonally adjusted annual rate). August sales were also down 1.5% from one year ago. The median sales price for existing homes was $356,700, rising 14.9% year-over-year and marking 114 consecutive months of year-over-year gains. Rising home prices are largely a result of low housing inventory amid sustained demand. Supply retreated in August, down 1.5% from July 2021 and is down 13.4% from one year ago. August’s 2.6 months of supply was unchanged from July and down 13.3% from 3.0 in August 2020.

Lawrence Yun, chief economist for NAR said, “Sales slipped a bit in August as prices rose nationwide. Although there was a decline in home purchases, potential buyers are out and about searching, but much more measured about their financial limits, and simply waiting for more inventory.”

Yun also discussed current market conditions and home prices saying, “High home prices make for an unbalanced market, but prices would normalize with more supply.”

ACRE Commentary: Home sales in Alabama increased year-over-year (Y/Y) in August, rising 3.9% (seasonally unadjusted). Sales decreased 5.9% month-over-month, following historical trends as a small decline is expected from July to August. Sales are up 15.3% year-to-date, with another record year for home sales likely in 2021. 

Home price growth is moderating somewhat with the statewide median sales price gaining 6.6% Y/Y in August, down from an average of 12.3% Y/Y during January-July 2021. The state’s housing supply increased slightly (0.2%) from July, but listings are down 24.7% from one year ago. With sustained demand and rising inventory, months of supply increased from 1.5 in July to 1.6 in August. Listings are also expected to gradually increase in the coming months with higher home prices bringing more potential sellers to the market. 

Click here to view the entire monthly report. 

The Shoals Area Residential Monthly Report is developed in conjunction with the Shoals Area Association of Realtors.

Editor’s Note: All information in this article reflects data provided to the Alabama Center for Real Estate for the time period  August 1 – 31, 2021. Thus, the performance represented is historical and should not be used as an indicator of future results.

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